tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3272054900018746845.post4069096603833916814..comments2024-01-01T17:21:52.555+00:00Comments on Is the BBC biased?: ExpertsCraighttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08741318067991857821noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3272054900018746845.post-6283588840569481352016-10-03T19:48:24.432+01:002016-10-03T19:48:24.432+01:00...though your prediction on TWTW that the Colombi......though your prediction on TWTW that the Colombian referendum was likely - given your formula (and despite caveats) - to result in a 2/3 majority for the government didn't quite hit the mark. Craighttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08741318067991857821noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3272054900018746845.post-12837105028422839732016-10-03T16:08:51.339+01:002016-10-03T16:08:51.339+01:00Thank you, Matt. You've restored my faith in e...Thank you, Matt. You've restored my faith in experts!Craighttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08741318067991857821noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3272054900018746845.post-26318040169497133942016-10-03T15:38:57.070+01:002016-10-03T15:38:57.070+01:00Unpopular second-term government hardly applies in...Unpopular second-term government hardly applies in this case. Furthermore, the Remain campaign (at least in Preston, where I live) was almost completely dominated by the Labour party.<br /><br />And as I understand it, Leave.EU predicted the referendum result accurately.Simon Plattnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3272054900018746845.post-56477979693445928692016-10-03T14:15:22.817+01:002016-10-03T14:15:22.817+01:00But, of course, you are right. The other article g...But, of course, you are right. The other article got it wrong. It was based on a larger dataset that included Switzerland and Liechtenstein. This is obviously illegitimate. But, as I said, you are right to point out that there was a discrepancy. Well spotted. Respectfully, Matt<br />Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15273459125995212341noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3272054900018746845.post-91007341550573138452016-10-03T14:13:30.843+01:002016-10-03T14:13:30.843+01:00Fair point. But in an earlier article properly ref...Fair point. But in an earlier article properly refereed academic article I predicted the result "based solely on this statistical analysis the current government will lose the referendum by 4 percent" - http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1467-923X.12224/full<br />Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15273459125995212341noreply@blogger.com