Showing posts with label 'Reality Check'. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 'Reality Check'. Show all posts

Sunday, 12 June 2022

And why beholdest thou the mote that is in thy brother's eye, but considerest not the beam that is in thine own eye?


I was reading a comment elsewhere that referred to a BBC Reality Check following the Texas shooting headlined US gun control claims fact-checked. It's one of those pieces where the facts 'checked' seem to fit with a particular point of view on the fact-checker's part. In other words, though it goes through the motions of 'BBC impartiality', it selectively 'checks' two Republicans and one Democrat, and the two Republicans come out of it much worse. Interestingly, the BBC ends with a correction - a 'reality check' on itself:
Correction 30 May: An earlier version of this piece stated there had been one mass shooting in the UK following Dunblane. There have been two, based on the definition widely used in the US of four or more deaths.

Wednesday, 24 November 2021

''You gotta be kidding me''


I spotted a tweet from the BBC a few days back:
 

When you see the BBC asking a question like that on this kind of subject you can guess the answer they'll give before you even click on the article

The article itself is a joint venture between the BBC's Paul Adams and BBC Reality Check and it rules that the actions of Poland and Lithuania aren't legal.

Incidentally, the tweet, one of the images within in the article, plus the thumbnail of the embedded video all show children. As someone I follow observed, ''The BBC do like their child pics''. 

Meanwhile, the Polish government is not impressed with the BBC. Government spokesman Stanisław Żaryn tweeted
Dear @BBCWorld, @BBCNews, this piece is full of bias! Why aren’t you putting any pressure on the Belarusian regime? You are fully aware that it’s Lukashenko who's playing with the fates of those people, aren’t you? Minsk is cynically using the migrants only for its political purposes. Those foreigners came to Belarus upon a mandatory invitation issued by state authorities, and on tourist visas. And now they want to illegally cross the Polish border. What we’re dealing with here is nothing but a hostile political operation controlled by the Belarusian services, incl. the KGB. And you're implying that Poland should be criticized? You gotta be kidding me.

Monday, 27 September 2021

Two and a half months later...


On the open thread, Charlie referred to the BBC's 'reality check' of the causes of the lorry driver shortage, noting that it underplayed the availability of DVLA tests during the pandemic and overplayed Brexit as a cause.

Something interesting has happened to that BBC 'reality check' though. 

When I glanced at it a couple of days ago I spotted a glaring error. It said that there's now a shortage of more than 100,000 drivers in the UK and that:
That number included tens of thousands of drivers from EU member states who were living and working in the UK. 

I'd read in The Times that, according to available figures [figures already noted by the BBC's own More or Less at the very start of September], 19,000 out of some 45,000 EU drivers have left in the last couple of years, so saying ''tens of thousands'' for that 19.000 figure looked misleading, to put it mildly. [In fact it was plain wrong.]

I was just about to 'catch up' and post that, but things have changed. I see it's been 'stealth edited' this very afternoon. It now says: 
That number includes thousands of drivers from European Union (EU) member states who were previously living and working in the UK. 
So, this BBC 'reality check' has been up since 14 July. It's been updated in August and throughout September. Yet only now - nearly two and a half months after it was first published - has the BBC corrected it. 

Who reality-checks the reality-checkers at the BBC? 

I'm guessing that a complaint has wended its way through the BBC's tortuous complaints process to bring this about, though it could just be a BBC person spotting an embarrassing lapse at a time when many eyes are on the piece in question and quietly putting things right. 

It certainly was 'quietly' though. Thank goodness for Newsniffer. 

Thursday, 23 September 2021

Selective checking?


I see that the BBC's rather selective Reality Check unit has fact-checked Boris Johnson's UN speech.

Boris, therefore, joins Brazil's President Bolsonaro in being fact-checked so far. 

It will be interesting to see which other world leaders the BBC chooses to fact-check.

Will they fact-check President Biden, for instance?

[They would certainly have fact-checked his predecessor.]

Monday, 28 December 2020

Who to believe?

 

Erasmus, as per Hans Holbein the Younger

A recent piece on the BBC News website headlined  Erasmus: What could happen to the scheme after Brexit? and written by BBC Reality Check's Anthony Reuben has been described today as showing "the BBC's pro-EU bias both blatant & unrestrained...written wholly (& ultra-sympathetically) from the EU viewpoint...Could have been written in Brussels." It certainly only cites pro-Erasmus points, including a House of Lords report that "warned the benefits of the Erasmus programme would be very difficult to replicate with a national programme as the government is planning" and which claimed that "vocational education and training would stop, and that leaving Erasmus would 'disproportionately affect people from disadvantaged backgrounds and those with medical needs or disabilities'". 

Is this true though? Googling around, I found an LSE post from 2017 by Charlie Cadywould that, while being in support of the UK staying in the Erasmus scheme, does have some issues with it, saying:

It has a real problem reaching people from deprived backgrounds, ethnic minorities, and those who don’t go to university. The scheme has been expanded to include a vocational element, but it represents a miniscule portion of the Erasmus programme, which is still dominated by university students. If we look just at the raw numbers of Brits who participated in Erasmus to study in 2015, 11,981 (86 percent) were enrolled in higher education, compared to 1,943 (14 percent) participating in vocational education or training.

However, while higher education study placements typically lasted for the best part of a year – the average length was 211 days of funded study – vocational learners typically only spent two or three weeks abroad. In fact, when the total number of days funded through Erasmus in 2015 is aggregated, less than 4 percent went to those enrolled in vocational education and training programmes.

Anthony Reuben of the BBC's Reality Check evidently took Baroness Helena Kennedy & Co's word for it that Erasmus disproportionately helps the disadvantaged and has a key vocational element. I think Charlie Cadywould's analysis suggests the reverse is true and that it actually favours "elites" and those attending universities on non-vocational courses. 

Saturday, 26 December 2020

Chris Morris Day continues...


Sticking with the BBC's Reality Check correspondent Chris Morris...

I'm reviewing his performances on the BBC News Channel on Christmas Eve and have come to the bits where he responded to the two press conferences announcing the EU/UK deal - the first from the EU, the second from the UK government. 

Both performances absolutely epitomise the BBC's reporting of the two sides over the past four and a half years.

After the EU press conference, the BBC presenter and Chris Morris reviewed what Michel Barnier and Ursula von der Leyen said. 

Words like "interesting", "fact", and "highlighted" were deployed, along with several uses of "said". 

Their remarks were presented without criticism, or countering points, or distancing words. It was all very respectful. 

Then Chris belittled concerns about fishing.

In contrast...

After the UK press conference, the BBC presenter reintroduced Chris Morris with the words, "I want to speak to Chris Morris, who has been sitting with me listening to those news conferences, and listening to Boris Johnson in particular, and was quite keen to just pick up on a few of the things that you heard". 

Guess what happened next? What precisely was it that Chris Morris was "quite keen" to say?

Yes, the BBC's reality checker-in-chief launched straight into 'reality checking' Boris Johnson, picking up on something the UK PM said and disagreed with it. The phrases "ignores the fact" was quickly deployed. 

A long litany of negative points about what Brexit means the UK then followed, plus more "I'm not quite clear where the argument comes" towards positive claims about the post-Brexit future. 

Then came more negative stuff about what we'll be losing regarding access to EU crime databases. 

And then, to conclude, "I think both sides will try as hard as they can to move towards a situation which suits both of them. Obviously, as much cooperation as possible but it won't be quite the same as being inside the tent." 

There's not a doubt in my head that Chris Morris wishes we were still "inside the tent". His entire reporting leaves no room for doubt about that.

Feel free to mention Sherlock, and bears in woods, and the exact faith of popes...

********

Anyhow...

Just to end today's string of Chris Morris posts, here's a complete transcript of one of the BBC Reality Check chief correspondent's contributions to the BBC News Channel on the morning of Christmas Eve. It oozes bias:

Unreal predictions

Or what Chris Morris got wrong....



Ben Cobley, author of The Tribe, made a good point this morning on Twitter:
The world would be a much better, saner place if we all had our predictions replayed back to us every now and then. Predictions are a way of expressing our preferences while sounding knowledgeable. For elites, they are a way of standing ahead of others, pre-empting us.
Let's test that on the BBC's chief reality check correspondent, Chris Morris. 

*******

This is a BBC News website article he wrote dated 5 December 2019, just prior to the last year's general election. 

It began in classic BBC Reality Check mode, debunking a Conservative minister and saying he is factually wrong:
Chancellor of the Exchequer Sajid Javid has said there was not "a single doubt" in his mind that the UK would "have agreed and finalised a very ambitious deep and comprehensive trade deal" with the European Union (EU) before the end of next year. 

That's when a post-Brexit transition period is due to come to an end. 

""Because there's already an agreement, there's already an agreement in principle. It's there," he told BBC Radio 4's Today programme. 

But this is not the case.
The BBC's reality checker-in-chief continued with a classic bit of BBC finger-wagging against Brexiteers:
While "Get Brexit Done" may be a good campaign slogan, slogans don't make trade agreements. 
Later in this same article, however, Chris Morris moved from ruling on reality in 2019 to predicting reality in 2020, and wrote: 
Ratifying any agreement before the end of next year would take several months, so the negotiations themselves would need to be completed by the summer.
Doesn't he "sound knowledgeable" there?

Now though we can rule on him and say: 

But that was not the case. 

Negotiations were actually completed at the start of winter 2020 (Christmas Eve) and ratification now looks very likely to follow very swiftly, most probably in several days or a very few weeks, not several months.

*******

Let's continue with another article from 2019, this one from November:
One other thing: as well as negotiating with the EU, the UK would also need to sign up to a series of trade agreements round the world to replace those it has as part of the EU.

All of that could take up most of the next decade. It won't be done when the UK leaves the EU - it will only just have begun.

Wrong again. By Christmas Eve 2020 the UK had secured trade deals with 61 countries plus the EU

This seems to me to perfectly illustrate Ben's point that "predictions are a way of expressing our preferences while sounding knowledgeable". 

The BBC's Chris Morris's surely got this so badly wrong because he wanted to believe it would be painfully hard for the UK to sign up to trade deals around the world, and that is down to his feelings about Brexit.

One year ago today...



It's a year ago to this very day that Charles Moore, under the headline It’s the BBC that is in need of a Reality Check, took a scalpel to the pronouncements of the BBC's Reality Check correspondent Chris Morris. 

Lord Moore wrote this last Boxing Day:
One of the minor agonies of the Brexit process since 2016 has been the existence of the BBC’s Reality Check, usually presented by Chris Morris. Rather than arguing the issue with political leaders, Morris gives ex-cathedra pronouncements on where the truth lies, which are then unquestioningly accepted by his flock of fellow-BBC staff. Funnily enough, his version of reality seems always to coincide with the view from Brussels.
He then related a specific example from Christmas Day 2019's Today programme:
On the Today programme yesterday, Morris was asked by a deferential Mishal Husain to pronounce on whether “Get Brexit done” was misleading. He said, in essence, that it was. He complained that the slogan gave the “impression” that everything would be settled by 31 January 2020, whereas in fact the Tory “rush” for a trade agreement by December 2020 was itself unrealistic.
As so often, Charles Moore (who would have made a great BBC chairman) summed it up beautifully:
When (and before) Boris Johnson became Prime Minister, BBC experts kept telling us that the EU would never reopen negotiations or offer Britain better terms than those they had given Mrs May. Yet they did, very quickly.
Yes, BBC journalists have been at least as bad as any other 'experts' in predicting the future. 

My favourite example was Katya Adler in October 2019 saying that there was "a vanishingly small likelihood of a [withdrawal] deal" just days before that very deal was agreed. And she made her reality-defying prediction with such a swagger of confidence that it made me wonder if she could ever be taken seriously again. 

She said:
Nobody wants to be the one that says it's not going to happen. But it's not going to happen. Maybe, maybe, there is a 0.0000-0.3% chance that it will happen.
The current proposals on the table are not acceptable to the EU, full stop. Let's be honest about that. The chances of getting a deal now, between now and the EU leader's summit is zero, let's be honest.
Of course, she was taken seriously again because no BBC people ever pointed this out to her and she never publicly acknowledged how wrong she'd got it. Her own ex-cathedra pronouncements on where the truth lies continued to be unquestioningly accepted by her flock of fellow-BBC staff. And, just as funnily enough, her version of reality also always seemed to coincide with the view from Brussels.

Both Chris Morris and Katya Adler were in action last week, carrying on regardless.

Thursday, 19 December 2019

Iain Dale on the BBC's reaction to Brexit - and its Reality Check


Firstly:
The problem reached its zenith after Brexit. Like most London middle-class liberals, the BBC couldn’t understand why 17.4 million had voted to leave the EU. But then it has never seemed to make any attempt to do so. After the referendum, it panicked, apparently believing that the Leave vote was a consequence of its failure to dispel politicians’ “lies” or “populism”. 
Thus for the last three years, it has gladly wheeled out its “Reality Check” fact-checkers to pick holes in the case for Brexit, deploying them only occasionally to question the case for Remain. Its ostensibly impartial presenters, meanwhile, feel the need to stand in judgment over the argument, determining what is “true” as if viewers were incapable of making up their own minds.

Sunday, 15 December 2019

Chris Morris wails and gnashes his teeth (fact)


Today's The World This Weekend featured a verbal jeremiad from BBC Reality Check's chief reporter, Chris Morris. A transcript follows:


Having spent most of my career as a foreign correspondent I've covered some pretty dodgy elections in some pretty difficult places, so that helps keep a sense of perspective. But I never thought I'd cover an election here at home and reach the end of the campaign wondering whether the truth really matters any more. But here we are. Even after victory was assured on Friday morning Boris Johnson was doubling down on his claim that the Conservatives are building 40 new hospitals, even though the funding has only been provided for six of them, they're not actually new hospitals, and building hasn't yet started anywhere. At the same event Michael Gove couldn't resist having another pop at the defeated opposition:
Michael Gove: Under Boris's leadership we are truly a party for the whole nation. Just think about it: next year both the Durham Miners Gala and the Notting Hill Carnival will take place in seats represented by Conservative MPs.
It was a great line which captured this seismic nature of the election result and it was picked up and rebroadcast. But the detail wasn't actually true. The Miners Gala is held in the City of Durham, a seat Labour retained. Maybe it was an honest mistake after a long night - we've all made those - but this has been an election characterised by bluster and distortion where the end always seemed to justify the means. And that begs the question: do facts not really matter much any more? The evidence from the campaign suggests that quite often they don't, and trying to fact check them up the agenda simply doesn't work if false claims and misrepresentation can be pumped out to hundreds of thousands of people unfiltered via social media. There's always been spin of course and politicians should be trying to persuade us that we should vote for them. That's what it's all about. But in this new era - you can call it post-truth politics, if you like - the narrative is far more important than the detail, and if the facts don't quite add up the story can be embellished by half truths and smokescreens. If it works for Donald Trump across the pond then why not here? It's not so much about politicians always lying as about politicians not really caring whether something is true or not. That's where we've got to. And no party came out of the election with entirely clean hands on any of this. There were Lib Dem bar charts which displayed numbers sufficiently out of context to make an honest statistician blush. There was Labour's insistence that the NHS is for sale and that medicines will become more expensive after Brexit, based more on fear factor than on fact.
Jeremy Corbyn: He stood in front of a bus in 2016 and promised £350 million a week for the NHS. Now we find out that £500 million a week could be taken out of the NHS and handed to big drugs companies under his plans for a sell-out trade deal with Donald Trump and the USA.
But the party and the leader that was called out on the facts most often was also the party and the leader that won an unexpectedly large majority. And the Conservatives did that, as we know, primarily by providing a simple answer to an incredibly complex problem. 'Get Brexit done' was a comfort blanket. It was what people wanted to hear, and it appears that many voters either didn't know or didn't care that reality will be a lot more complicated. And now, well we've already moved on to new slogans - 'a one nation government', 'a people's government'. What does that really mean in practice? Whatever you want it to mean really, as long as you don't have to deal with any of those pesky facts.

*******

Thankfully, this woe-filled editorial by the BBC's High Priest of Unquestionable Reality didn't go unanswered today. The three studio guests responded, and two of them took aim at his piece - and the BBC - and fired. Here's a transcript of that too:


Mark Mardell: Sheila Lawlor, does the truth matter any more?
Sheila Lawlor: Yes, I think truth matters a great deal, and I would take issue with that view and, indeed, the view which has become, I hate to say it, but very standard in much of the state broadcaster. Say you take what you've said - it's the shorthand of 40 new hospitals, the suggestions that this is a lie  -the question is: in the manifesto it says "40 new hospitals...We will begin the work on 40 new hospitals to be built over the next 10 years". Now, it's a question of whether shorthand in a speech or a manifesto pledge...and so on. One could go through these things time and again...
Mark Mardell: (interrupting) Do you see that as shorthand? You're shaking your head.
Maya Goodfellow: No. I mean if you look at...
Sheila Lawlor(interrupting) Could I finish please? But the whole Brexit debate was couched in terms of 'Brexit, formally we leave the European Union on the 31st of January'. Yes, the next stage will be negotiating a future trade deal. But I'm afraid many programmes on the BBC couched the whole thing as one compete lie. The truth is in international law we leave, we get Brexit done, on the 31st of January. We then move on to discuss trade. That trade deal will not take seven years...
Mark Mardell(interrupting) I am going to interrupt now because we are running out of time. But Maya, what do you think?
Maya GoodfellowYeah, I mean, I don't, I don't agree. I think...I mentioned the Australian style points based system lying before. That is not what's going to be introduced under the Conservatives, so it is misleading. But I think there's a bigger problem here, which is not only about telling the truth or not. There has long been spin in politics. It's about the evasion of scrutiny. If we think about the fact they're talking about re-examining the Civil Service, we think about the fact that the Conservatives are saying they won't now appear on the Today programme, we think about the fact that Boris Johnson refused to do that Andrew Neil interview. This is why we had the election, was because Boris Johnson didn't want his deal to be scrutinised by Parliament, and so I think that this is something we have to be concerned about going forward now the Conservatives have a majority - not only that they've claimed things that are false during the general election campaign, but the way that they have dealt with interacting with large parts of the media is to try and avoid scrutiny. That's bad for the public.
Mark Mardell: Just very quickly, Alex. Post-truth?
Alex Massie:  Well, no. I mean, what is truth? There are often things that are subject to interpretation, and there's a certain current running through this discussion and so on which is that, you know, the voters are stupid and they must have been lied to to believe things that can't be true and to vote against their own long-term interests. Well, I mean, I 'm afraid I don't actually think voters are stupid in any part of the United Kingdom, I think they're capable of discerning bigger truths that are more important than whether a minister appears on the Today programme or about whether a particular shorthand version of what was in a manifesto commitment is 100% accurate or likely to happen. You know, the voters are not dumb. And I'm not sure that we would be having this discussion if the Labour Party had won this election incidentally, even though it doesn't strike me that the Labour Party's manifesto promises were any more plausible or honest than those made by the Conservatives. 
Mark Mardell: Alex Massie, Maya Goodfellow and Sheila Lawlor, thank you very much indeed.

Saturday, 14 December 2019

The BBC's Chris Morris gets dumped (on)


Writing in his fine Spectator column, Sir Charles Moore (well, he should be!) takes aim and fires again at the BBC's reality-checker-in-chief, Chris Morris:
On Wednesday, Chris ‘Reality Check’ Morris seemed to endorse Plaid Cymru’s idea that the ‘lies’ of politicians should be subjected to legal supervision. Behind all this is the conceit that BBC journalism should sit in judgment. This is truly wrong, and quite different from the justified search for accuracy in reporting.The BBC’s constant attacks on social media campaigns are not crusades for truth, but protests by a cartel. On big issues on which it feels strongly, such as Brexit (which it opposes) and climate change (whose wildest alarmists it swallows whole), it is just as biased, though not as cheapskate, as the dotty rubbish to be found online. It is captivated by the Robinson idea of ‘very high-profile journalists’, never wondering whether it is good for democracy that journalists should be more high-profile than elected politicians. And it is beside itself with rage that a once high-profile journalist, one Boris Johnson, jumped ship, got elected and became Prime Minister.
I was curious to find out what Chris Morris had said and where. He had a busy day that day, but it was during an exchange on that morning's Today that the Plaid idea was brought up. Here's what was said:
Chris Morris: Well, I mean, in the election overall I think there's probably been more false and misleading statements  than ever before. And you can argue it's always been like this, that politics is to some extent about winning by any means necessary. But the amplification effect of social media has really had an impact this time. It doesn't really matter if people like me come up with learned explanations about why a number is wrong if that number then is pumped out by hundreds of thousands of people unfiltered on social media. And I think there will be a corrosive impact if it doesn't matter any more whether things are true or not. And that's one of the reasons why Plaid Cymru has suggested a new law which would make lying by politicians illegal. This was Plaid's leader Adam Price on the programme earlier:
Adam Price, Plaid CymruWe cannot have a civil and respectful debate about any issue if we accept as the new normal that politicians can make false and misleading statements with impunity because then, you know, we can't have any kind of democratic discourse at all.  
Now, that begs a couple of questions. One, how do you really define what a lie is when numbers in particular can be used in different ways to make different points and, two, something we are asked quite a lot, often by really quite angry listeners, why don't we call politicians liars, and my answer that is really because (a) it would become the story and I'm not sure that's useless. That's more reality TV  than Reality Check, and also I'm not sure that lying in a deliberate hiding of the truth is the most difficult thing we're dealing with. It's bluster. I'm probably not allowed to use the full word on a breakfast programme, but it's BS. It's not really caring whether what you say is true or not. And I think that's a problem in politics now. 
Mishal Husain: And what are the things that have come back again and again throughout this campaign that you and others have not managed to make go away?
Chris Morris: Are you giving me the whole of the rest the programme or about a minute to answer that? I mean, there have been numbers which come back time and time again. I mean, Labour saying that average households had lost about £6,000 a year since 2010 when, in fact, the average household has been calculated by saying you have two railcards and a two year old child, so that was not necessarily representative. The Conservatives talking about building 40 hospitals when we know they've only provided the money so far for six and building hasn't started at any of those six sites. And then, overall, 'get Brexit done'. I mean, the Conservatives are right that if they win and we leave in January then legally we will have left the EU. We heard Michael Gove a few minutes ago saying we can then focus on the NHS and crime and so forth, but is he really saying that next year we'll suddenly stop talking about Brexit and its impact altogether when we have to do a trade deal in record time? I think the reality is that, yes, legally we'll have left the EU, if the Conservatives win, at the end of January but we'll still be talking about Brexit and its impact for years to come.
Is Charles Moore being fair to the BBC's Chris Morris there? Was Chris Morris being biased there?

And, for transcription fans, here was Reality's Chris again, later, on Open Source:
Chris Morris: Another issue, I guess, is the pace of modern media. The fact that you can say live on air, on TV or radio, you can say something which isn't really correct, but to fact check it can take a few minutes. Sometimes it even takes a few hours if it's something complicated, and by then the conversation has moved on. Then of course, there are those things, and you have given some of those examples of claims or numbers that have been used again and again during this election, and it's notable that in some cases, even though there's been pretty comprehensive take-downs by BBC Reality Check and other fact-checking organisations, politicians have just continued to use them. And then the Prime Minister himself has made a particular thing really of doubling down on certain things, even when the evidence really doesn't stack up, most notably, of course, the issue of him saying that there will be no checks on trade between Great Britain and Northern Ireland after Brexit, even though that is precisely what internal government documents and his own Brexit Withdrawal Agreement say there will be. You can then look at labour and Jeremy Corbyn, his message that the Tories are going to put the NHS up for sale. But when you look at the documents he released to prove that, that's not what they say. They don't talk about wholesale privatisation of the NHS. So I think we're in an age where politicians feel in a sense they can get away with things and they can communicate much more directly with voters than perhaps they could before. I think voters are smart enough sometimes to work this out. But if we get to a point where politicians don't care whether something is true or not, then that does I think get pretty corrosive for the state of our democracy. 
I'm off out soon, so I'm dumping this post lower down the blog. Please feel free (of course) to have your say, and to bias-check Chris Morris.

Saturday, 30 November 2019

Unreality check?


Ah, a BBC reality check!


Did Samira Ahmed give the BBC's Chris Morris a tough time on 'Newswatch'?






Reality Check
The claim: That Samira Ahmed really put the BBC's Reality Check chief reporter Chris Morris through his paces on 'Newswatch' this week.
The verdict: No, she didn't, It was a very soft interview. But our boss did great.
Well, maybe not...


Here's a transcript of this week's Newswatch main interview:


Samira Ahmed: Disputes over facts and figures are part of any election campaign but this time around, the arguments seem more numerous and acrimonious than ever - hence the need for independent and neutral verification of the claims made, by organisations such as the charity Full Fact, Channel 4 News's FactCheck, and Reality Check on the BBC. The latter is usually fronted by Chris Morris, and recently, he's been very busy man. Here he is on Wednesday scrutinising Labour's claims that the NHS was at risk under a post-Brexit trade deal with the US:
Chris Morris: Of course, there's going to be pressure - that's what trade talks are all about. There will also be trade-offs. If the UK turns down some of these American requests, then we can expect the Americans to reject some key British demands for access to their market. But none of this is really proof that the NHS is somehow for sale, even if the US would like it to be on the table. But producing a definitive verdict on what the politicians are saying is not a straightforward affair. 
The adjudications of Chris Morris have themselves faced judgement, with journalists from the Daily Mail and the Daily Telegraph over the past fortnight criticising his findings. And, of course, the whole business of fact-checking has come under the spotlight since the Conservative Party entered this area for last week's leaders' debate on ITV, as Jessica Parker reported:
Jessica Parker: Looking online, what to take at face value? Last night, a brief rebrand of a Conservative Party Twitter account to factcheckUK. The Conservatives say it was still clear who is running the account, but one senior Labour figure said Twitter should have taken it down. 
Well, undeterred by such self-styled entrance into the fact-checking market, Chris Morris from BBC Reality Check is with me now. Thank you for making the time. I know you're busy. 
Chris Morris: Hi, Samira. 
Samira Ahmed: Has this election already been particularly angry and more contentious when it comes to doing Reality Check? 
Chris Morris: Yeah, probably. I mean, elections are always times when there's a lot of attention on exactly what politicians say, a lot of numbers come out in manifestos, and obviously, this election is seen as one of the most important for decades. So there's been an awful lot to check, and what we try and do basically is if we see things which we think - where we think politicians have either misspoken, said something that's incorrect, said something that's misleading, we'll write about it. Do we spot all of them? No, because there are a lot of them about and there are only so many hours in the day. Do we get it right all the time? Possibly not. You know, no-one is infallible. But I think the point is we are trying to hold them to account for what they say. And if somebody says something and then keeps repeating it, then we will try and go back and say again, "We still think this is wrong. We said it last week, we're saying it again now". 
Samira Ahmed: Well, as you've hinted, there are a lot of claims being thrown around out there, so how do you choose which ones to investigate? 
Chris Morris: It's partly things which do get repeated. I mean, politicians have their stump speeches, whether it's Boris Johnson or Jeremy Corbyn. If there are numbers in there which we think clearly don't really stand up to scrutiny, those are things will we investigate... 
Samira AhmedSo this might be something like nurses, or something? 
Chris MorrisNumbers of nurses, numbers of police officers. And the thing about statistics as well is that you can present them in different ways. So one of the things you can do is say we are putting another 20,000 police on the streets, but maybe not mention the fact that in the last nine years, 20,000 - the police numbers have gone down by about 21,000. So it's partly putting numbers into context, as well, because numbers don't always tell the whole story. 
Samira AhmedOK. Are you happy to say something is a lie, or to call someone a liar? 
Chris MorrisA lot of people get very exercised about this on social media. My personal view is it doesn't actually help that much for us to call people liars. I think what we should do is say, "This is what somebody said. Here is what we believe are the facts of the situation". And I think the audience is smart enough to decide whether somebody is lying or not. I think me going on, into a studio like this and pointing at a politician and saying, "Liar, liar, pants on fire" - that's more reality TV than Reality Check. 
Samira AhmedIt is interesting, because obviously the editorial policy director David Jordan has said exactly that - it's not the BBC's job to be calling out politicians as a liar. 
Chris MorrisWell, I don't think it is. And I think that's partly because I think a lot of what we're dealing with at the moment - and other people disagree. The head of Channel 4 has made the point that we should be calling people liars, Dorothy Byrne. My point is a lot of what we're dealing with at the moment is not necessarily so much lying. It's bluster, it's smoke screen, it's - I probably can't say to the full word on a family show like this - but it's BS. And the thing about that is it's not so much trying to conceal the truth, it's about not quite caring what the details of the truth are. And I think if you start throwing around labels like "liar," it almost gets in the way of saying it's really difficult sometimes to pin people down on these things. That, of course, then raises a whole other question of well, is there any point in fact-checking if they're gonna keep saying things? And I think there is a debate to be had about how useful fact-checking is. But I do think our primary purpose has to be to focus on the facts as we see them. 
Samira AhmedYou will know that your fact checks themselves have been disputed by some newspaper commentators. Is it also the reality that some fact checks are disputable, they're not just black-and-white? 
Chris MorrisThey can be. There's always been political spin, and so there should be in any vibrant democracy. There's always gonna be people trying to persuade their part of the electorate that you look at the numbers and you lean this way, or you look at these numbers and lean that way. So spin is part of the process. But I do think it's increased in recent years - that's partly because social media amplifies everything. Partly because also social media means parties can very easily sort of put out little bits of video or audio, little bits of - which are almost unfiltered. Now, they might say "That's good - we can get past the bias of the media". We would say "Actually, it's bad, because then you can spin it too much without us being able to say - and it's our job - to say 'We think you've gone too far with this one'." 
Samira AhmedWell, you mentioned the filter of the media. A lot of viewers are concerned that Reality Check masks a failure in the first place by BBC News journalists to adequately analyse before reporting politicians' promises. And by the time Reality Check gets to dealing with them, these claims have been out there for several hours. Oh, you know, this leader has promised this, and that has not been challenged until you get around to it. 
Chris MorrisI don't think any presenter can be expected to be an expert in absolutely everything. So one of the roles I have is to come after and say "We heard all of that but those numbers there, we don't think Whether it be a Labour claim of you're gonna be spending £500 million extra a week on NHS medicines after a trade deal with United States, or whether it be the Tories saying Labour's spending plan adds up to £1.2 trillion. You know, there are numbers you can dispute, and I think it's very difficult for a presenter to interrupt every time somebody gives a number, otherwise an interview would never get anywhere because as well as numbers, you do want to hear opinions. 
Samira AhmedChris Morris, thank you. 

Friday, 29 November 2019

Ex-cathedra pronouncements to the flock




For those who missed Mr Moore's 'love-bombing' of the BBC's reality-checker-in-chief, here it is:

“Get Brexit done”, is the Conservatives’ principal slogan and unique selling point, so obviously it should be open to scrutiny. One should object, however, to the pretence that this is merely a factual question on which the media, rising above base politicians, can shed the clear light of truth. 
One of the minor agonies of the Brexit process since 2016 has been the existence of the BBC’s Reality Check, usually presented by Chris Morris. Rather than arguing the issue with political leaders, Morris gives ex-cathedra pronouncements on where the truth lies, which are then unquestioningly accepted by his flock of fellow-BBC staff. Funnily enough, his version of reality seems always to coincide with the view from Brussels. 
On the Today programme yesterday, Morris was asked by a deferential Mishal Husain to pronounce on whether “Get Brexit done” was misleading. He said, in essence, that it was. He complained that the slogan gave the “impression” that everything would be settled by 31 January 2020, whereas in fact the Tory “rush” for a trade agreement by December 2020 was itself unrealistic. 
Morris might well be right about the struggles ahead, but he made no allowance at all for the fact that we are dealing with political issues here, not just technical ones. When (and before) Boris Johnson became Prime Minister, BBC experts kept telling us that the EU would never reopen negotiations or offer Britain better terms than those they had given Mrs May. Yet they did, very quickly. 
Nor, in applying “reality” to the Tory manifesto yesterday, did Morris mention that Brexit is an event in law: if the new Parliament votes to approve his deal, that event of leaving the EU will indeed take place by 31 January. In that important sense, we will have got Brexit done. 
If I had the resources of the BBC (over £5 billion a year, the great bulk coming from a compulsory licence fee), I would set up a Reality Check on its own claims. It would keep several hundred reporters busy throughout the “24/7 news cycle” 365 days of the year.

Friday, 22 November 2019

The BBC's Reality Check issues a correction


David Jordan's admiration for the BBC's Reality Check is disappointing but hardly unexpected. 

Today, the unit went after an anti-Labour audience member on last night's Question Time

But the BBCs 'reality checkers' turned out to have got it somewhat wrong themselves and had to issue a correction - a correction prompted by anti-Brexit QC Jolyon Maugham of all people.

Here are the Reality Check tweets that accompanied the BBC News website piece (linked to below):

  • A man on BBC Question Time said he earned more than £80,000 a year but that did not put him in the top 5% of earners. HMRC figures show £75,300 put you in the top 5% in 2016-17. If you adjust that by earnings growth it suggests you now need to be earning about £81,000.
  • The member of the audience on BBC Question Time also said earning £80,000 a year didn't even put him in the top 50% of earners. Anything over about £25,500 would put you in the top 50%.
  • Thanks to Jolyon Maugham. The HMRC figures do indeed exclude those not earning enough to pay income tax, which means the BBC Question Time audience member would have been well inside the top 5% of earners. You can read more about it here:
  • https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/50517136.
  • Correction: The HMRC figures exclude those who do not earn enough to pay income tax. If these people are included then the audience member would have been well inside the top 5% of earners. 

That poor (rich) audience member may have got dumped on from a great height by the BBC's Reality Check but I hope he spots that the BBC's Reality Check itself got dumped on from an even greater height. And there are few things higher than Jolyon Maugham QC's ego.

Sunday, 10 November 2019

#onthesideoftheaudience


Ah, must have a bit of Kamal today...


Can you guess the verdict of Reality Check's analysis

Ah yes, there are "problems" and "issues" with what the Conservatives are saying and Labour has been "upfront" in its spending commitments. So, despite some qualms from the IFS, that's a pretty clear ruling from Reality Check in Labour's favour against the Conservatives. 

It's 'reality', so who can argue with it?

Sunday, 3 November 2019

Checking 'Reality Check'



So Chris Morris is going to put his mucky paws all over our General Election, claiming he's undertaking Reality Checks? The branding is a thin disguise for anti-Conservative opinion pieces. Let's see his latest: 
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-50222315 
In this he examines the Conservative Party slogan: Get Brexit Done. Have they analysed "For The Many Not The Few" on Reality Check one wonders... 
Well it seems to me this is exactly the sort of thing the BBC should NOT be doing - second guessing political slogans. Chris doesn't waste time. In the first para he is already concluding that the Conservatives have got it wrong and "it's not that simple". 
He then misleadingly claims that "Brexit has been pushed back to 31 January 2020" before immediately contradicting himself by conceding it could take place before then. 
He claims that Brexit will be "loved and hated in equal measure". No evidence given for this assertion. At the Referendum a million more people loved than hated the idea. But for Chris 52-48 has become 50-50. 
Morris uses Remainer language throughout, referring to the WA as setting out the "divorce" agreement. This suggests a union of two parties, but that was never the case: we joined a club. A better analogy would be settling the bar bill.

At the end of the opinion piece he states: "Whatever happens in the next few months, the fallout from the Brexit referendum will remain with us for years to come." 
The dictionary definition of "fallout" is "the adverse results of a situation or action". That is a very biased word to use in context.

Checking out Chris Morris's other Reality Check post since the election began - General election 2019: What does 'clean-break Brexit' mean? - this 'reality checks' Nigel Farage and Ann Widdecombe's talk of a 'clean-break Brexit' and finds it wanting. It's "highly unlikely to happen" for starters, 'just walking away' is "not sustainable" and claims that 'no deal' is a misleading term because a series of mini-deals have already been done are simply "wrong". So that's them told! 

It will be interesting to keep a close eye on all Chris Morris's Reality Check pieces during this election. How many will check the anti-Brexit side's claims? How many will 'reality check' the Lib Dems or Labour? 

Saturday, 1 June 2019

"The Brexit Party is offering simple solutions"


Chris Morris

I've been lagging behind a bit blogging-wise this week, but I meant to pick up on Arne's comments about BBC Reality Checker-in-Chief Chris Morris's latest offerings. 

How to do it though? Well, I copied-and-pasted the first article a few days ago, and will now dump it below. 

I've highlighted in red the parts where I think the BBC's omniscient King of Facts becomes the BBC's Editorial Writer-in-Chief. 

We're at the stage where opinionated, impartial BBC reporters can write things like this with apparent total freedom:


What would a Brexit Party Brexit look like?




Nigel FarageImage copyrightGETTY IMAGES

The Brexit Party has won the largest share of the vote and the most seats in the UK's European elections.
Many of its policies are unknown, it produced no manifesto, and it has avoided answering detailed questions on immigration or economic policy.
One thing we do know very clearly is that it wants to leave the European Union as soon as possible.
So what would a Brexit Party Brexit actually look like?

'Clean break'

The Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage says he wants a "clean-break" Brexit, abandoning the withdrawal agreement that Theresa May's government negotiated with the EU.
It is notable that Mr Farage tended to avoid the term "no-deal" Brexit during the election campaign.
A party spokesman argued that it is a misleading term that gives a false impression.
Without a withdrawal agreement, though, most of the vast network of rules and regulations that have governed the UK's relationship with the rest of Europe for more than 40 years, whether in trade or security or other issues, would disappear overnight.
That's what a clean break would mean.
While arguing for a swift exit, the Brexit Party has also called for its newly elected MEPs to play a "major role" in the Brexit negotiations.
But as the Brexit Party is not in government and has no MPs in the House of Commons that is highly unlikely. The only direct role Brexit Party MEPs might have is if the withdrawal agreement was ever to pass in the House of Commons - there would then be a vote in the European Parliament to ratify it.
A clean break also means - and this was a promise that appeared on a pledge card the Brexit Party produced during the campaign - that it would refuse to pay the £39bn financial settlement, or "divorce bill", that the government has agreed in order to settle past debts and future obligations to the EU.

WTO terms

And it means the party wants to leave the EU on - as it puts it - World Trade Organization (WTO) terms.
It sounds very simple, and it is a phrase that is also used by several contenders for the Conservative Party leadership.
But what does it mean in practice? Not a lot.
The basic rules of the WTO are really just the baseline of international trade, which don't offer more than the most rudimentary of benefits.
A lot of Brexit supporters - including the Brexit Party - argue that the UK can use something called Article 24 (of GATT - the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade) to ensure that the UK can still enjoy free or frictionless trade with the EU.
It would mean no tariffs or taxes would be imposed on goods crossing borders between the UK and its largest trading partner, the European Union.
The trouble with that argument is that you can only use Article 24 if two parties are willing to make an agreement - in this case, the UK and the EU. Neither can impose it on the other.
In other words, you have to agree a deal first and the Brexit Party, along with several would-be Conservative leaders, are prepared to leave without a deal.

EU negotiations

Mr Farage argues that there will in fact be a deal of some kind because the EU needs one.
He has been fond of saying that when push comes to shove the EU would "come running" to do a quick trade deal with the UK.
That's quite a gamble.
It is certainly true that any significant disruption to trade would hurt both sides, but the EU has said consistently that it values the integrity of its single market more than free trade with the UK, and that that will be its priority.
Of course no deal or a "clean break" is not an end in itself. Eventually - and sooner rather than later - the two sides would have to start talking again about a future agreement.
The 27 other EU countries have already agreed that if there is no deal then the first thing they would want to talk to the UK about after Brexit would not be a trade deal.
It would be the financial settlement, citizens' rights and the Irish border - exactly those issues that are dealt with in detail in the withdrawal agreement that has been rejected three times in the House of Commons.
The Brexit Party is offering simple solutions. But the Brexit process is full of complex problems.